Bitcoin Run November 2013

With value of a bitcoin surging past $420 today, the bitcoin economy is now valued at more than $5 billion. How did we get here and what has caused this seemingly rapid climb?

As the value of a bitcoin has more than triple over the past 6 weeks, I figured it would be a good time to review some of the factors responsible for this current period of abrupt appreciation. I believe it’s important to recognize the fundamental drivers of this growth in light of recent media attention and critics who call bitcoin a bubble. Obviously nothing goes up forever, but the current bitcoin price surge is not all hype as some claim.

Below are 10 Reasons Why The Value Of Bitcoin Is Skyrocketing.

  1. It all started with the FBI shutdown of The Silk Road– an anonymous online marketplace that allowed people to buy illegal drugs with bitcoins. The Silk Road shutdown resulted in brief, but shallow sell off and subsequent rebounded within a few days. This event showed the world and governments that illegal activities were a very small fraction of the transactions taking place on the bitcoin network. It also removed a huge element of risk from bitcoin in the eyes of investors.
  2. Next, the U.S. government shutdown for more than 2 weeks and a looming debt ceiling crisis would highlight the financial issues of the world’s largest economy and owner of the world’s reserve currency. The issues that led to the shutdown and debt ceiling crisis are (unfortunately) still alive and well, and have caused frustration both domestically and abroad. This highlights the need for a new monetary system free from politics and centralized control and increased demand for bitcoins.
  3. There’s now major interest and demand for bitcoins from China. In October, Chinese bitcoin exchange BTC China became the largest bitcoin exchange in the world by volume. State own television networks in China have aired segments on bitcoins, and Jaisule (a subsidiary of the largest internet company in China) began accepting bitcoins as payment for their services. With a population of nearly 1.4 billion people, China’s interest has played a major role in the recent run-up in value of bitcoins.
  4. There is also evidence of major interest from deep-pocket investors who are buying bitcoins in large quantities and who have been public about their acquisitions and/or plans to purchase. Chamath Palihapitiya, ex-Facebook executive and early employee, is just one of those investors who already dropped $5 million into bitcoins and has plans to invest another $10 million! Chamath and other investors who share his sentiment are helping drive genuine interest and investment into bitcoins. The Bitcoin Investment Trust also surpassed its goal of $10 million by year-end, receiving $15 million in four weeks, all slated to for investment directly into bitcoins!
  5. Over the past month, several large venture capital investments have been announced for bitcoin start-ups. Companies like Circle, Ripple Labs, itBit, GoCoin, and others have been recipients of nearly $20 million. In less than 18 months over $40 million has gone into bitcoin start-ups and this is just the beginning. A wave of experienced entrepreneurs may now be entering the bitcoin space as we saw with the announcement from Jeremy Allaire (founder of Brightcove) and his new bitcoin company, Circle that received $9 million in venture funding. Bitcoin is starting to mature more quickly than expected.
  6. There has also been a flurry of several new, more robust and compliant bitcoin exchanges and trading platforms coming online in the past couple months. Bitcorati has identified 50 different bitcoin exchange platforms active today. The top 4 bitcoin exchanges, BTC China, Bitstamp, MtGox, and BTC-e are currently leading the way, but several new exchanges like CoinX, itBit, Kraken, Coinsetter, and Coinfloor are offer promising new alternatives while sites like btcQuick and Localbitcoins offer ways for people to convert cash into bitcoins in the continuing absence of BitInstant.
  7. The continuing exponential rise in bitcoin mining difficulty, the near impossibility of mining for profit, and shipping delays from mining equipment makers have forced many miners to give up and just start buying bitcoins.
  8. Governments from several countries, including Canada, China, Germany, and the Netherlands, have either directly or indirectly supported bitcoin with relaxed regulations and/or no regulation at all (yet). Canada seems especially welcoming of bitcoin too. The recent installment of the Bitcoin ATM (Robocoin) in a Vancouver coffee shop saw 100,000 Canadian dollars circle through the system it its first 8 days on site!
  9. Another important trend is the number of businesses announcing the acceptance of bitcoins as payment, including small shops and small businesses all over the world. Even large businesses like Subway have seen franchise owners in Russia and the U.S. embrace bitcoin as an accepted form of payment. Take a look at the bitcoin community on Reddit on any given day and you will also see a number of announcements of business now accepting bitcoins.
  10. To top it all off, bitcoin is back in the spotlight and being discussed for good and bad, sparking up debates and conversations on major news and TV networks, finance and technology circles. The increased exposure makes people curious and sparks a new wave of interest in bitcoin. Although sometimes the media spreads misinformation and the usual FUD, the ultimate result has been a boon for bitcoin!

So, that’s a little background behind the recent surge in value of bitcoins. If bitcoin is the world-changing technology that many of us believe it is, the price is starting to demonstrate that, and yet bitcoin still has long way to go!

Did I forget anything? Feel free to comment below and let us know why you think the value of bitcoin is surging!

  • http://www.rocketcases.com/ Rocketcases

    Plus Rocketcases accepts Bitcoin for iPhone and Galaxy cases… so… I guess it’s a top 11 list ;)

    • johndurbinn

      Oh shut it. Pay for your advertising fuckwipe.

      • http://www.rocketcases.com/ Rocketcases

        Thank you for your valid and thoughtful contribution.

  • http://www.rocketcases.com/ Rocketcases

    Plus Rocketcases accepts Bitcoin for iPhone and Galaxy cases… so… I guess it’s a top 11 list ;)

    • johndurbinn

      Oh shut it. Pay for your advertising fuckwipe.

      • http://www.rocketcases.com/ Rocketcases

        Thank you for your valid and thoughtful contribution.

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  • JonLoldrup

    Yes you forgot that your hypotheses aren’t easily testable and thus forever will remain speculation

  • JonLoldrup

    Yes you forgot that your hypotheses aren’t easily testable and thus forever will remain speculation

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  • http://thibaultcha.me/ Thibault Charbonnier

    It reminds me I had some bitcoins on a wallet managed by Bitcoin-Qt, and wanted to transfer them on a coinbase wallet, I just checked and they are not on coinbase. I assume they just get lost… Loser.

    • HairyHerry

      I know nothing about coinbase. If they’re a 3rd party service, you’re indeed at the mercy of that service. If you know matter-of-factly that the address you’ve used is the exact one that coinbase should receive your bitcoins, then confirm the balance independently through Blockchain.info and enter that address. Even if coinbase doesn’t indicate you have the balance – Blockchain can still tell you definitively if it’s there. It will then be up to coinbase to troubleshoot any issues as they will have the private keys to any addresses they control. Hope this helps.

      • http://thibaultcha.me/ Thibault Charbonnier

        Thank you very much, wasn’t really expecting help… Blockchain helped me see my mistake: seems like I did something wrong and sent the coins on another account than the coinbase one (still one of mine but bitcoin-qt is quite slow when it comes to sync and get the latest data…) Many thanks!

  • http://thibaultcha.me/ Thibault Charbonnier

    It reminds me I had some bitcoins on a wallet managed by Bitcoin-Qt, and wanted to transfer them on a coinbase wallet, I just checked and they are not on coinbase. I assume they just get lost… Loser.

    • HairyHerry

      I know nothing about coinbase. If they’re a 3rd party service, you’re indeed at the mercy of that service. If you know matter-of-factly that the address you’ve used is the exact one that coinbase should receive your bitcoins, then confirm the balance independently through Blockchain.info and enter that address. Even if coinbase doesn’t indicate you have the balance – Blockchain can still tell you definitively if it’s there. It will then be up to coinbase to troubleshoot any issues as they will have the private keys to any addresses they control. Hope this helps.

      • http://thibaultcha.me/ Thibault Charbonnier

        Thank you very much, wasn’t really expecting help… Blockchain helped me see my mistake: seems like I did something wrong and sent the coins on another account than the coinbase one (still one of mine but bitcoin-qt is quite slow when it comes to sync and get the latest data…) Many thanks!

  • Pikos

    What about QE?

  • Pikos

    What about QE?

  • http://www.newsforshoppers.com/journalist/adrian-gordon/ Adrian Gordon

    Bitcoins are way too unstable to be used with any regularity.

    • bitcorati

      That’s not what data tells us…. https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions-excluding-popular – Transactions continue to increase. People continue to use Bitcoins more and more as a currency despite it’s volatility!

      • http://www.newsforshoppers.com/journalist/adrian-gordon/ Adrian Gordon

        I understand what you are saying, but my point is that bitcoins are still too unstable for the average person to use. Most people do not want to have to keep a constant eye (and I mean daily) on the value of their currency. It is just not feasible for the masses yet.

        • http://www.coffeecraftsandclues.com/ Des Malone

          Sure they are. The merchants are accepting them more and more. The volatility is a problem more for speculating than spending. The purpose of it is spending. When demand rises, merchants will fall in line accepting bitcoin. If you buy bitcoin and keep some aside to ride the volatility wave while spending other you can strike a good balance.

          Bitcoin isn’t a stock – it’s a currency and a payment system. Its novelty level is akin to where we all were in the mid 90s, on the cusp of mainstream adoption and businesses jumped in. Now everyone’s online and those who invested wisely in the future technology are sitting pretty. Those who went at it strictly in speculation went bust.

          The trend shows virtual currency becoming adopted. Jump in. Don’t be scared :)

  • http://www.newsforshoppers.com/journalist/adrian-gordon/ Adrian Gordon

    Bitcoins are way too unstable to be used with any regularity.

    • bitcorati

      That’s not what data tells us…. https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions-excluding-popular – Transactions continue to increase. People continue to use Bitcoins more and more as a currency despite it’s volatility!

      • http://www.newsforshoppers.com/journalist/adrian-gordon/ Adrian Gordon

        I understand what you are saying, but my point is that bitcoins are still too unstable for the average person to use. Most people do not want to have to keep a constant eye (and I mean daily) on the value of their currency. It is just not feasible for the masses yet.

  • http://benhebert.com/ Ben Hebert

    There’s going to be some major hacking scares regarding Bitcoin over the next few months. Get ready for the drop :)

    • HairyHerry

      Why hasn’t Bitcoin been truly hacked YET? This toddler is approaching its fifth year of existence, yet hackers can’t seem to get a grip on it?? Of course I welcome the drop you sincerely pray for with that snarky smile, as I will simply come in and sweet up the unwanted BTC. I’ve done so several times this year with awesome results as I’ve gambled some of the BTC, gained some of it back and banked it (with private key of course!) and even used some of it for services. So far, $$ returns will amount to nearly a nine-bagger, including ALL the spending and losses I mentioned. (Think of what I’d report if I had kept it all. At this point, a top hasn’t been made on the current run.)

      You see, the hacking scare is no more than that.. A scare, unfounded since SHA-256 hasn’t been hacked yet. Imagine a number greater than 1 to the 77th decimal. Those odds, even to the finest Crays the NSA could muster, would be incredibly difficult to solve – even in a lifetime. Such a number could make your head explode as the estimated number of total atoms in our Universe equal 1 to the 80th decimal.

      If you have the balls and resolve to figure it out, then you deserve to enrich yourself in this otherwise-crappy economy.

      You see, I mistakenly transmitted 0.27 BTC on Halloween to an address I no longer have any control over. Since that holding service in Europe has closed their doors, the private key they had for the address has vanished. At that time, BTC was definitely lower. I’ve not shed any tears or lost sleep over it, but it’s a lesson that if you make a mistake, it’s impossible to undo. At present, that amount of BTC on MtGox would fetch over $200 USD as of this writing. Consider all who lost bitcoins from the beginning to now through HD crashes and other issues. They, or anybody are ripe for hacking, if the Private Key can be found, that is!! My original BTC was slowly mined with my computer almost 3 years ago and I had backed up the wallet. The computer’s drive crashed, but the information and 0.15 BTC contained was saved from backup. It’s worth over $100 USD as of this writing.

      Want to attempt to hack address 1HMqjWDbFsEdrVjsgaM12bw77JYikUoze ?? I will never get access to the BTC there I once held. (WARNING TO ALL: any BTC sent there or contained can’t be fetched by myself, yourself, ANYBODY, without the private key – so this is definitely NOT a donation request or scam – I truly can’t get it, nor can you or anyone unless you nail the key to enable transfer of the balance! That’s the whole point of this extended missive on my part.)

  • http://benhebert.com/ Ben Hebert

    There’s going to be some major hacking scares regarding Bitcoin over the next few months. Get ready for the drop :)

    • HairyHerry

      Why hasn’t Bitcoin been truly hacked YET? This toddler is approaching its fifth year of existence, yet hackers can’t seem to get a grip on it?? Of course I welcome the drop you sincerely pray for with that snarky smile, as I will simply come in and sweet up the unwanted BTC. I’ve done so several times this year with awesome results as I’ve gambled some of the BTC, gained some of it back and banked it (with private key of course!) and even used some of it for services. So far, $$ returns will amount to nearly a nine-bagger, including ALL the spending and losses I mentioned. (Think of what I’d report if I had kept it all. At this point, a top hasn’t been made on the current run.)

      You see, the hacking scare is no more than that.. A scare, unfounded since SHA-256 hasn’t been hacked yet. Imagine a number greater than 1 to the 77th decimal. Those odds, even to the finest Crays the NSA could muster, would be incredibly difficult to solve – even in a lifetime. Such a number could make your head explode as the estimated number of total atoms in our Universe equal 1 to the 80th decimal.

      If you have the balls and resolve to figure it out, then you deserve to enrich yourself in this otherwise-crappy economy.

      You see, I mistakenly transmitted 0.27 BTC on Halloween to an address I no longer have any control over. Since that holding service in Europe has closed their doors, the private key they had for the address has vanished. At that time, BTC was definitely lower. I’ve not shed any tears or lost sleep over it, but it’s a lesson that if you make a mistake, it’s impossible to undo. At present, that amount of BTC on MtGox would fetch over $200 USD as of this writing. Consider all who lost bitcoins from the beginning to now through HD crashes and other issues. They, or anybody are ripe for hacking, if the Private Key can be found, that is!! My original BTC was slowly mined with my computer almost 3 years ago and I had backed up the wallet. The computer’s drive crashed, but the information and 0.15 BTC contained was saved from backup. It’s worth over $100 USD as of this writing.

      Want to attempt to hack address 1HMqjWDbFsEdrVjsgaM12bw77JYikUoze ?? I will never get access to the BTC there I once held. (WARNING TO ALL: any BTC sent there or contained can’t be fetched by myself, yourself, ANYBODY, without the private key – so this is definitely NOT a donation request or scam – I truly can’t get it, nor can you or anyone unless you nail the key to enable transfer of the balance! That’s the whole point of this extended missive on my part.)

  • Ed Boyle

    The #1 reason why BItcoin is skyrocketing is because there is much more buy-side demand than sell-side. Period. Most of the reasons listed in the blog are about buy-side demand; the sellers probably aren’t selling because 1) there are still hardly any places at all that accept Bitcoin 2) buyers probably have not put in a ton of money … probably an amount they are comfortable losing and therefore don’t need to sell right now 3) buyers may have already taken their principal and some profit off the table and letting much of their Bitcoins sit to (hopefully) appreciate further. If/when Walmart and Amazon start accepting Bitcoin, and perhaps colleges or tax authorities or car dealers, then maybe we’ll see the sell-side get more active and help balance what appears to largely be people paying large premiums to convince holders to reluctantly sell.

    • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

      Actually in the event Walmart and Amazon start accepting Bitcoin that would drive the price up even more because remember, bitcoin is a currency too. Bitcoin it’s not a stock that must be sold first to realize gains in value! If people are hoarding a bunch of bitcoins for a day when they hope the majority of businesses accept them, then if/when that day comes they can simply spend their bitcoins at Walmart, or Amazon, or to pay for tuition, a car, a house, etc. No need to “cash out” or sell any bitcoins.

      • cosmic confusion

        Sure but then Walmart or amazon, finding themselves holding a lot of coins would need to sell to recognize revenue. So it would renter the market rather quickly. They wouldn’t want exposure to that kind of currency risk.

        • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

          You’re still forgetting about the supply chain… if companies as big as Amazon or Walmart are accepting bitcoins one day, it’s very likely their vendors, and other smaller companies they do business with would be accepting bitcoins. Plus, their employees could be paid in bitcoins. When a mature and deep supply chain is built out over time these large companies could simply use the bitcoins to cover some of their expenses. Big businesses (just like consumers) would never have to sell or “cash out” their bitcoins, they just spend them! Bitcoins will eventually be treated like cash or any other type of currency and since, in this future scenario, bitcoins could be very stable, perhaps only rising or falling 3% to 5% value per year there wouldn’t be much of a risk holding bitcoins on the books!

          • yourinternetmuse

            Amazing analysis Ryan! You are right. Once Bitcoin becomes a publicly accepted currency. There will be a massive demand for it, wherein the skyrocket performance that we see right now might just be a drop in an ocean few years from now, because people would soon think that buying a bitcoin even in a relatively high price would be an ideal asset accumulation.

            How do you see the future of Bitcoin being regulated?

          • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

            Thanks! Bitcoin can’t be regulated, but businesses involved in bitcoin can be and consumers using bitcoin could be taxed eventually. I think every country will try and regulate it differently at first, but long-term universal laws will be adopted within the G20 and crypto currencies will carve out their space within the global monetary system.

          • yourinternetmuse

            Do you strongly believe that Bitcoin could be valued in crazy $10,000+? If big casinos would try to test accepting them, don’t you think this is possible?

          • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

            Anything is possible! Few people could even imagine a $100 bitcoin price at the beginning of 2013 let alone almost $1,000 by the end of 2013… and here we are! $10k is only one more order of magnitude! :-)

  • Ed Boyle

    The #1 reason why BItcoin is skyrocketing is because there is much more buy-side demand than sell-side. Period. Most of the reasons listed in the blog are about buy-side demand; the sellers probably aren’t selling because 1) there are still hardly any places at all that accept Bitcoin 2) buyers probably have not put in a ton of money … probably an amount they are comfortable losing and therefore don’t need to sell right now 3) buyers may have already taken their principal and some profit off the table and letting much of their Bitcoins sit to (hopefully) appreciate further. If/when Walmart and Amazon start accepting Bitcoin, and perhaps colleges or tax authorities or car dealers, then maybe we’ll see the sell-side get more active and help balance what appears to largely be people paying large premiums to convince holders to reluctantly sell.

    • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

      Actually in the event Walmart and Amazon start accepting Bitcoin that would drive the price up even more because remember, bitcoin is a currency too. Bitcoin it’s not a stock that must be sold first to realize gains in value! If people are hoarding a bunch of bitcoins for a day when they hope the majority of businesses accept them, then if/when that day comes they can simply spend their bitcoins at Walmart, or Amazon, or to pay for tuition, a car, a house, etc. No need to “cash out” or sell any bitcoins.

      • cosmic confusion

        Sure but then Walmart or amazon, finding themselves holding a lot of coins would need to sell to recognize revenue. So it would renter the market rather quickly. They wouldn’t want exposure to that kind of currency risk.

        • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

          You’re still forgetting about the supply chain… if companies as big as Amazon or Walmart are accepting bitcoins one day, it’s very likely their vendors, and other smaller companies they do business with would be accepting bitcoins. Plus, their employees could be paid in bitcoins. When a mature and deep supply chain is built out over time these large companies could simply use the bitcoins to cover some of their expenses. Big businesses (just like consumers) would never have to sell or “cash out” their bitcoins, they just spend them! Bitcoins will eventually be treated like cash or any other type of currency and since, in this future scenario, bitcoins could be very stable, perhaps only rising or falling 3% to 5% value per year there wouldn’t be much of a risk holding bitcoins on the books!

          • yourinternetmuse

            Amazing analysis Ryan! You are right. Once Bitcoin becomes a publicly accepted currency. There will be a massive demand for it, wherein the skyrocket performance that we see right now might just be a drop in an ocean few years from now, because people would soon think that buying a bitcoin even in a relatively high price would be an ideal asset accumulation.

            How do you see the future of Bitcoin being regulated?

          • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

            Thanks! Bitcoin can’t be regulated, but businesses involved in bitcoin can be and consumers using bitcoin could be taxed eventually. I think every country will try and regulate it differently at first, but long-term universal laws will be adopted within the G20 and crypto currencies will carve out their space within the global monetary system.

          • yourinternetmuse

            Do you strongly believe that Bitcoin could be valued in crazy $10,000+? If big casinos would try to test accepting them, don’t you think this is possible?

          • http://www.bitcorati.com/ Ryan Charleston

            Anything is possible! Few people could even imagine a $100 bitcoin price at the beginning of 2013 let alone almost $1,000 by the end of 2013… and here we are! $10k is only one more order of magnitude! :-)

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  • kyalami

    In my view, at the moment we have a bubble. Ordinary people are hearing about Bitcoin and thinking “I’ll buy a piece of the action for a small amount of money I can afford to lose.” Multiply that by millions and we have a vicious circle – the price of a limited commodity goes up, the news continues to spread, more people buy in.

    Right up to the point where people get altitude sickness and the price crashes.

    Bitcoin has potential, but todays prices are hyper-inflated.

    • http://www.salescopywriter.net/ Alan

      “multiply that by millions”? There’s only 12 million coins in existence.

      If millions are to get some they’ll be getting fractions of a single coin. Which is no problem, as bitcoin can be divided by 8 decimal places.

  • kyalami

    In my view, at the moment we have a bubble. Ordinary people are hearing about Bitcoin and thinking “I’ll buy a piece of the action for a small amount of money I can afford to lose.” Multiply that by millions and we have a vicious circle – the price of a limited commodity goes up, the news continues to spread, more people buy in.

    Right up to the point where people get altitude sickness and the price crashes.

    Bitcoin has potential, but todays prices are hyper-inflated.

    • http://www.salescopywriter.net/ Alan

      “multiply that by millions”? There’s only 12 million coins in existence.

      If millions are to get some they’ll be getting fractions of a single coin. Which is no problem, as bitcoin can be divided by 8 decimal places.

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  • Ed Wapole

    Google: Bitcoin Beef Jerky.

  • Ed Wapole

    Google: Bitcoin Beef Jerky.

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  • terry

    wrote an article about why i feel there is a value and demand for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies (especially in the developing world). Any feedback on it would be awesome :)
    http://igmonlineloans.com/bitcoin-loans-and-the-currency-of-freedom-and-personal-liberty/

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